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Monday, July 10, 2017

Earlier today the United States officially announced the liberation of Mosul, Iraq from the Islamic State. BREAKING: Loss of #Mosul in Iraq is a 'decisive blow' against Islamic State group, says US-led coalition @AFP — david vujanovic (@davidvujanovic) July 10, 2017 BREAKING: Iraq PM declares victory over 'brutality and terrorism' in Mosul @AFP — david vujanovic (@davidvujanovic) July 10, 2017 Iraq's prime minister after officially declaring victory in Mosul — david vujanovic (@davidvujanovic) July 10, 2017 Celebrations break out in Baghdad after Iraqi prime minister declared victory over IS in Mosul. Pictures by AFP's Sabah Arar — david vujanovic (@davidvujanovic) July 10, 2017 In a statement released Monday afternoon, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson congratulated Iraqi Security Forces, Kurdish Peshmerga fighters and the Iraqi people for retaking Mosul. He also noted how ISIS used hospitals, schools and mosques to hide terrorists and to build bombs. "On behalf of President Trump and the American people, I congratulate Prime Minister Abadi and the Iraqi people on their liberation of Mosul. This is a critical milestone in the global fight against ISIS, and underscores the success of the international effort led by the Iraqi Security Forces. We honor the sacrifices of the Iraqi Security Forces and Iraqi people, as well as the Kurdish Peshmerga, in achieving this victory, and express condolences for the many lives lost in the operation," Tillerson said. "During ISIS’s brutal occupation of Mosul, it terrorized and brutally murdered thousands of civilians, used mosques, schools and hospitals as bomb-building facilities and fighting positions and just recently, facing defeat, destroyed the historic al-Nuri mosque and al-Hadba minaret," he continued. "Under Iraqi leadership, the United States and our Coalition partners will continue to work closely with the UN to stabilize liberated areas throughout Mosul, supporting the return of displaced civilians to their homes. There is still much work to be done to defeat this enemy. The Global Coalition will continue to stand with our Iraqi partners to ensure that ISIS is defeated wherever it remains in Iraq." With ISIS out, there are a number of questions about Iraq's future. Tom Rogan from the McLaughlin group gives us a preview: Yet Mosul's difficulties are far from over. On the contrary, Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi now faces an even tougher challenge. He must counter Iran's political usurpation of Iraq, and build a consensus in Mosul that reflects the city's multisectarian tradition. After all, Mosul is now divided between various sectarian groups. To prevent Mosul's political decline into renewed chaos, the Trump administration will have to double down on Abadi. That will require providing Abadi whatever support he needs to deter sectarian movements. To be clear, this may need to involve U.S. covert action against Shiite militias and Iran. The key to Mosul's future, and Iraq more generally, is the political isolation of both ISIS and Iran.

Katie Pavlich

There are just three weeks before the 2017 August recess and according to a number of Senators on Capitol Hill, the odds of an Obamacare repeal and replacement bill making it to President Trump's desk before then are slim. 

After years of promising to rid the country of the scourge of Obamacare, Republicans are admitting legislation being considered in the Senate might be dead on arrival, especially since Majority Leader Mitch McConnell can only afford to lose two votes from his side of the aisle. 

"My view is it's probably going to be dead," Arizona Senator John McCain said on Fox News Sunday.

"The bill is just being lit up like a Christmas tree full of billion dollar ornaments. It's not repeal," Kentucky Senator Rand Paul said last week.

As Cortney reported earlier, Senator Pat Toomey expects a new version of the American Healthcare Act, which was passed by the House in May, to emerge as early as Monday afternoon. The goal is three fold: keep conservatives from calling the plan Obamacare light, keep moderates from bailing because the bill is too "mean" and to fulfill the long stated Republican promise to the American people of truly repealing and replacing Obamacare once and for all. 

It's a tall order and President Trump expects Republicans are up for the challenge.

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