Thursday, July 30, 2015

Trump's lead GROWS over Jeb and other Republican rivals as he captures 25 per cent in new Reuters poll

Trump's lead GROWS over Jeb and other Republican rivals as he captures 25 per cent in new Reuters poll

  • Trump picked up nearly 10 points in the national poll of Republican voters since Friday
  • He's risen to 25 per cent support, with Jeb Bush in a distant second place at 12 per cent 
  • Trump is leaving the U.S. Wednesday night for Scotland, where his Trump Turnberry Resort will host the Women's British Open golf tourney
  • Trump flies to Glasgow Prestwick Airport aboard his private Boeing 757 and returns on Saturday 
  • Separate poll released earlier Wednesday shows Trump leading in Florida, where Jeb Bush was governor 

Billionaire Donald Trump is leaving the country on a high note, flying from New York to Glasgow, Scotland on Wednesday night as a new poll gives him a commanding lead in the race for the 2016 U.S. Republican presidential nomination.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll found 25 per cent of GOP voters want to elect a President Trump, resulting in a double-digit advantage over his nearest rival Jeb Bush 

The former Florida governor trails with 12 per cent.

Trump told DailyMail.com during an interview on Wednesday morning that he planned to spend Thursday, Friday and Saturday attending the Women's British Open golf tournament at his Trump Turnberry Resort. 

'For four years I've looked forward to going to this,' he said. 'You know, they pick 'em four or five years in advance. And now what happens? Hah!'

IT'S STILL DONALD: Trump is now in a commanding lead among Republcian presidential candidates, polling 25 per cent while his nearest rival Jeb Bush is stuck at 12
IT'S STILL DONALD: Trump is now in a commanding lead among Republcian presidential candidates, polling 25 per cent while his nearest rival Jeb Bush is stuck at 12
DEBATE PREP? Trump will spend the next three days at Turnberry, his Scottish golf resort that is hosting the 2015 Women's British Open
DEBATE PREP? Trump will spend the next three days at Turnberry, his Scottish golf resort that is hosting the 2015 Women's British Open

'So I said, "Do I go?"'

He chuckled at the timing, now that he's the GOP front-runner. 'And the answer is, I'm going but I'm not coming back on Sunday. I'm coming back on Saturday.'

Trump will fly aboard his private Boeing 757 aircraft from New York's LaGuardia Airport to Glasgow Prestwick International Airport in Scotland.

The five-day rolling online poll from Reuters had Trump at 15 percent among Republicans on Friday before he rocketed to 24.9 percent on Tuesday.

That huge jump will all but ensure that the nascent presidential campaign's first significant domestic Trump news blackout – three days with nothing but golf interviews – will leave him in good stead. 

Separately, a St. Pete Polls survey of nearly 2,000 Florida Republicans found that neither Bush, the former governor, nor Marco Rubio, the state's junior senator, leads the pack.

Once again, it's The Donald, with a 26-percent showing. Bush is in second place with 20 per cent.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker polled 12 per cent in Florida, followed by Rubio with 10, Ben Carson with 5, Sen. Ted Cruz and Gov. John Kasich at 4 apiece, and Rand Paul at 3.  

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The Florida poll has one major limitation: It ignored half the field, including long-shots Sen. Lindsey Graham; former Sen. Rick Santorum; governors Chris Christie and Bobby Jindal; former governors George Pataki, Rick Perry and Mike Huckabee; and businesswoman Carly Fiorina.

It's unclear whether, or to what extent, giving pollsters a longer list of names might have robbed Trump, Bush or others of some of their support.

Trump, who announced his candidacy for the November 2016 election six weeks ago, has gained ground even as political rivals leveled criticism at him for remarks this month belittling the military service of Senator John McCain, the party's candidate in 2008.

The 69-year-old real estate mogul and reality TV star seems certain to take the stage at next week's Fox News debate, which will use national polls to determine which 10 of the 17 Republican candidates in the field can participate.

Reuters/Ipsos polling also shows that should Trump mount an independent bid next year and run in a three-way race, he will likely drain support from the Republican nominee and allow the Democrat to cruise to victory. 

Trump has refused to rule out an independent run should he fail to secure the Republican nomination.

STILL IN SECOND: Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor who is leading the GOP field in fundraising, is still polling less than half the support Trump can command early in the campaign
STILL IN SECOND: Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor who is leading the GOP field in fundraising, is still polling less than half the support Trump can command early in the campaign

In a matchup with Democratic Party front-runner Hillary Clinton and Bush, Trump would tie Bush at about 23 percent among likely voters, with Clinton winning the White House with 37 percent of the vote.

About 15 percent of those polled said they were undecided or would not vote. 

The five-day rolling poll was based on a survey of 425 Republicans and has a credibility interval of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. The three-way race poll, taken at the same time, used a sample of 1,280 Americans and has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

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